Forecast Scenarios

Forecast scenarios represent different demand forecast models with specific assumptions and parameters.

Creating a Scenario

1. Navigate to Plan → Forecast Scenarios
2. Click Create Scenario
3. Configure:
   • Name: Descriptive name for the scenario
   • Forecast Period: Time horizon (e.g., 30, 60, 90 days)
   • Products: Products to include in forecast
   • Channels: Sales channels to forecast
   • Locations: Locations to forecast

Scenario Configuration

Forecast Model

Select forecast model:

• Time Series: Historical demand patterns
• Seasonal: Seasonal demand patterns
• Trend: Trend-based forecasting
• Custom: Custom model parameters

Parameters

Configure forecast parameters:

• Smoothing Factor: Alpha for exponential smoothing
• Seasonality: Seasonal adjustment factors
• Trend: Trend adjustment factors
• Confidence Intervals: Forecast confidence levels

Generating Forecasts

1. Open the scenario
2. Click Generate Forecast
3. System will:
   • Analyze historical demand
   • Apply forecast model
   • Generate projections by product, channel, and location
   • Calculate confidence intervals

Comparing Scenarios

Compare multiple scenarios:

1. Select scenarios to compare
2. Click Compare Scenarios
3. View side-by-side:
   • Forecast values
   • Confidence intervals
   • Model parameters
   • Assumptions

Publishing Scenarios

1. Review generated forecast
2. Click Publish
3. Published scenario becomes:
   • Available for planning recommendations
   • Used for replenishment calculations
   • Visible to other users

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Related Pages

• Forecasting Overview
• Forecast Events
• Planning Recommendations
• Forecast Accuracy

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